Catalogue
Scenario archive
Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.
How far will Iran go for the Strait of Hormuz?
After years of stand-off over Tehran’s nuclear programme, the waterway is now at the heart of the regime’s confrontation with the US
July 29, 2026
Why Iran is returning to war
Its rulers believe that further escalation will force the US to offer the security and economic relief it craves
July 29, 2026
Five bridges targeted by US strikes in Iran’s Bandar-e Imam Khomeyni — Fars
Earlier reports said seven people were killed and nine wounded by US strikes on the city
July 29, 2026
Which players are favourites to be FIFA World Cup 2026 award winners?
Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe are among the biggest stars expected to walk away with at least one individual award.
July 29, 2026
Qatari air defenses repel missile attack
"The Defense Ministry of Qatar announces that the armed forces have repelled a missile attack on the State of Qatar," the Arab country’s defense ministry said
July 29, 2026
US military boards tanker in Gulf of Oman for inspection — CENTCOM
"US Marines from the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit conduct a verification boarding aboard M/T Wen Yao in the Gulf of Oman, July 16," the US Central Command said
July 29, 2026
Dense smoke from Canadian wildfires blankets New York
Visibility has dropped to a few hundred meters
July 29, 2026
Seven killed in US attack on Iran’s Bandar-e Imam Khomeyni — Fars
The wounded are now receiving medical assistance
July 29, 2026
Hong Kong taxi driver dies after crashing into railing in Tsuen Wan
A Hong Kong taxi driver has died after his vehicle crashed into a railing in Tsuen Wan. According to police, the accident happened at 11.45pm on Thursday on Ma Tau Pa Road, when the cabby reportedly lost control of his vehicle and drove into a railing while travelling towards Tsuen Wan Riviera Park. Emergency responders arrived at the scene and found the driver unconscious, with no apparent external injuries. He was rushed to Yan Chai Hospital in Tsuen Wan, where he was pronounced dead at 1.06am...
July 29, 2026
IEA chief warns Strait of Hormuz crisis threatens global energy security
Fatih Birol says 'oil security is still a critical issue' and world should be 'worried' if situation does not improve.
July 29, 2026
China holds Global Mayors Dialogue 2026 for green cooperation
China holds Global Mayors Dialogue 2026 for green cooperation
July 29, 2026
South Africa dismisses misinformation campaign over migration protests
South Africa has dismissed what it describes as a misinformation campaign portraying the country as isolated from the rest of Africa following recent protests over illegal migration.
July 29, 2026
US launches new strikes on Iran as military costs soar toward $100 bln
US launches new strikes on Iran as military costs soar toward $100 bln
July 29, 2026
Chords and carnivals: The everyday stories behind China's ethnic unity
More than a sporting event, "Dian Chao" offers a glimpse into how ethnic unity is experienced in everyday life – through shared participation, cultural expression and a sense of belonging.
July 29, 2026
Xi Jinping meets Kazakh president
Chinese President Xi Jinping on Thursday met with Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev in Shanghai.
July 29, 2026
Kuwait, Bahrain say air defenses intercept new Iranian drone attacks
Kuwait's armed forces said on Thursday that the country's air defense systems were responding to hostile drones, urging the public to follow safety instructions issued by the relevant authorities.
July 29, 2026
Wang Huning attends China-DPRK treaty's 65th anniversary reception
China's top political advisor, Wang Huning, and Pak Thae Song, premier of the Cabinet of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK), each delivered a speech at a reception commemorating the 65th anniversary of the signing of the China-DPRK Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Mutual Assistance in Pyongyang on Thursday.
July 29, 2026
Nigeria issues flood alert for 14 states as heavy rains intensify
Nigerian authorities have issued a flood alert for 14 states, warning residents and local governments to prepare for possible flooding as heavy rains continue to batter parts of the country.
July 29, 2026
Trump suggests Putin ready for Ukraine peace deal
US President Donald Trump said once again he believes Russia is ready to reach an agreement to end the conflict with Ukraine, according to media reports on Wednesday, while fighting continued across the front line with both sides reporting large-scale drone operations and Europe moved to further strengthen military support for Kiev.
July 29, 2026
Japan-Philippines military tie-up: Who fuels South China Sea tensions
Japan's involvement in South China Sea affairs has shifted from diplomatic statements and capacity-building to a more operational and institutionalized military arrangement.
July 29, 2026
China viewed more favorably than US, Pew survey finds
A newly released Pew Research Center survey revealed that China now boasts more favorable global perceptions than the United States across a wide range of countries.
July 29, 2026
Global mayors advance vision for green, inclusive urban development
City leaders from around the world gathered in Xishuangbanna, southwest China's Yunnan Province, from July 14 to 16 for the 2026 Global Mayors Dialogue, where they exchanged views on sustainable urban development and called for deeper cooperation in promoting harmony between urban growth and ecological conservation.
July 29, 2026
‘Gateway to Asean’: South Korea bets on Vietnam hub for food expansion
South Korean food exporters are no longer treating Vietnam as just another market for kimchi, instant noodles and premium fruit. As Southeast Asia emerges as one of South Korea’s most important trading regions, Seoul is positioning Vietnam as a logistics and distribution base for a wider push to turn the popularity of Korean culture into sustained demand for Korean food across the region. But analysts said the strategy would depend on more than Hallyu-driven curiosity, with exporters needing to...
July 29, 2026
Iranian sources say US strikes hit civilian infrastructure
Iranian social media accounts, and local sources allege that US strikes caused casualties and hit infrastructure.
July 29, 2026