Catalogue
Scenario archive
Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.
Trump to address nation as Iran crisis, China tensions and election fight intensify
US President Donald Trump will deliver a prime-time “Speech to the Nation” on Thursday at 9pm Eastern Time, or 9am Hong Kong time on Friday. Such addresses are typically reserved for major national moments. During his second term, Trump has used them to highlight key priorities, including a year-end address in December, and a speech in April focused on the Iran conflict. The White House has not released the full agenda, but the timing has drawn attention. The address comes soon after Trump...
July 29, 2026
Funds go on buying spree as cash holdings drop to five-year low
Mutual fund managers reduced cash in equity portfolios to a five-year low. This move utilized recent stock declines in banking and IT sectors. Funds like Parag Parikh Flexicap significantly cut their cash positions. They invested in companies with attractive valuations and resilient earnings. This strategy reflects a shift towards deploying capital in beaten-down stocks.
July 29, 2026
Joe Schmidt era staggers to a close as shellshocked Wallabies face Italy | Angus Fontaine
Australia have lost their last two against the Azzurri and if they fall again, the departing coach’s win-loss record will fall below 36% The bell has rung on final drinks at the last chance saloon and the Wallabies need to shout Joe Schmidt something powerful in this week’s must-win Test against Italy in Perth before their battle-weary boss exits as coach and staggers into retirement. Last week against France , the champagne stayed on ice as Les Bleus roared back from 21-12 down at half-time to score 30 unanswered points and triumph 42-26. The week before, Ireland overturned a 24-19 deficit at the break to run away with the Nations Championship opener by 33-31. Continue reading...
July 29, 2026
Pete Hegseth’s Plan for ‘High T’ Troops Is a Junk Science Fever Dream
The defense secretary’s idea of administering testosterone therapy to service members of the US Armed Forces reveals little understanding of the complexity of hormones.
July 29, 2026
Iran war live: US carries out strikes on civilian infrastructure in south
Officials report power outages, train station hit in Bandar Abbas, as Iran says Hormuz won't return to prewar status.
July 29, 2026
HP fined 1.4 billion rupees for “cartelization” of ink cartridges, toner, PCs
Resellers threatened to ditch HP printing supplies for counterfeits.
July 29, 2026
An eye for dollars: SBI brings in $1.9 billion in foreign-currency resources via special scheme, way ahead of peers
State Bank of India mobilized nearly two billion dollars under a central bank incentive. This amount significantly surpasses other state-owned and private sector banks' efforts. Other lenders like Bank of Baroda and Canara Bank raised smaller sums. Banks are now focusing on attracting overseas currency inflows from the Indian diaspora. This strategy aims to provide greater flexibility for high-net-worth clients.
July 29, 2026
Gold Heads for Weekly Fall as Hormuz Strikes Raise Fed-Hike Bets
Gold was on track for the biggest weekly loss since early June as renewed hostilities in the Middle East raised the odds that the US Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates to contain inflation.
July 29, 2026
Thai Stocks Go From Worst to Best as Funds Eye Further Gains
Thai stocks are finding favor again as investors bet that an Anutin Charnvirakul-led government will bring an end to years of political turbulence, spurring foreign capital inflows.
July 29, 2026
Middle East live: US strikes in Iran hit airport, bridges and railway station
Deadly US strikes overnight hit an airport, a railway station in the port city of Bandar Abbas and two bridges in southern Iran near the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian state media said Friday. Follow our liveblog for the latest updates.
July 29, 2026
Vietnamese activist places rare national spotlight on Gaza’s suffering
Activist Bao Ngoc draws attention to plight of Palestinians in country where protest is tightly controlled.
July 29, 2026
Venezuela earthquake: Number of known dead rises to nearly 5,000 victims
The UN estimates 50,000 are missing, with many more feared dead under the rubble as the focus shifts to rebuilding.
July 29, 2026
US and Iran exchange blows in rekindled Middle East war
The United States struck Iran and Tehran attacked US allies in the Gulf on Thursday as the foes battled over the vital Strait of Hormuz in the renewed Middle East war. The rekindled fighting came a month after the signing of a preliminary deal that aimed to end the conflict, which broke out in late February with massive US-Israeli strikes on Iran. US Central Command (CENTCOM) announced it was conducting a new wave of strikes on Thursday evening to “further degrade Iranian military capabilities”...
July 29, 2026
US hit on Iran's Iranshahr Airport causes damage, wounds one
US hit on Iran's Iranshahr Airport causes damage, wounds one A US attack on Iranshahr Airport in south eastern Iran wounded at least one civilian and caused damage to facilities, Iranian state TV reported. According to the report, at least one US projectile had hit the airport, located in the Sistan and Baluchestan province. As a result, electrical facilities and a fuel tank were damaged, causing a power outage.
July 29, 2026
Kuwait army says confronting 'hostile' attacks, air raid sirens blare in Bahrain
Kuwait army says confronting 'hostile' attacks, air raid sirens blare in Bahrain Kuwaiti air defences are responding to "hostile missile and drone attacks" from Iran, the Gulf country's army indicated. "Everyone is kindly requested to adhere to the security and safety instructions issued by the competent authorities," the statement added. Elsewhere, Bahrain's interior ministry announced that sirens have been sounded off across the country, urging citizens and residents to "remain calm and head to the nearest safe place". This come after Iran said it targeted US helicopters and a reconnaissance aircraft at Bahrain’s Sakhir Air Base, according to the Tasnim news agency.
July 29, 2026
Sadiq Khan joins House of Lords as outgoing UK PM names 26 new peers
PM Keir Starmer's final honours list also includes campaigners, military leaders and senior civil servants.
July 29, 2026
Qatar rejects Israeli reports of military action against Iran
Qatar has rejected Israeli media reports claiming the Qataris agreed to participate in military action against Iran.
July 29, 2026
Chinese scientists have bad news on having babies in space. But there is a silver lining
If the future of humanity lies in the vast expanse of space, could humans actually perpetuate the species beyond Earth? As a team of Chinese scientists has discovered – the outlook is not very positive. The researchers used two of China’s Tianzhou cargo spacecraft missions to culture and study the differentiation of human reproductive cells in space. Early-stage human reproductive cells did not grow or develop nearly as well in space as on Earth, the team from the Chinese Academy of Sciences’...
July 29, 2026
Texas floods kill 2, with more storms to come
Mandatory evacuations across the Texas Hill Country are under way as life-threatening flash floods wreck bridges and roads with more heavy rain expected overnight. A wide swathe of Texas is forecast to receive as much as 20cm (eight inches) of additional precipitation through Friday morning to cap off a week of downpours that revived memories of the catastrophic deluge that killed more than 130 people a year ago. Evacuations have been complicated by almost 90 road and highway closures between...
July 29, 2026
Fire breaks out at Iranian airport after US attack — IRIB
One person was wounded, the broadcaster said
July 29, 2026
One man's hunger strike changed India's map. Can it still change politics?
Why hunger strikes still shape Indian politics, from Gandhi to Sonam Wangchuk.
July 29, 2026
National Year of Reading should extend to a decade, inquiry says
The education committee also proposed a National Reading Guarantee, ensuring all children have frequent opportunities to enjoy reading The National Year of Reading should be extended to a National Decade of Reading, an education committee inquiry into reading for pleasure has concluded. The government should also commit to a National Reading Guarantee that would ensure all children have regular opportunities to enjoy reading, the committee argues. Continue reading...
July 29, 2026
The financial winners and losers from the World Cup
Big bucks are being made from the 2026 tournament off the field, but who is raking in the most?
July 29, 2026
A White House teleprompter operator reportedly won big betting on presidential speeches
The staff member allegedly made over $100,000 on Kalshi.
July 29, 2026