Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

Militaryseverity 7

Russian airstrike against a Ukrainian children hospital reveals Russia eroding military might

July 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Putin ruthless tactics to throw more people in to his meat grinder invasion of Ukraine will force Kyiv to accept a negotiated surrender , top historian Jonathan Dimbleby warns

July 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Israel is inching toward a wider war and a nasty fight against an enemy poised to bombard it as no other foe has

July 2, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

A Wider War Could Unleash Massive Missile Barrage Against Israel

July 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 7

Houthis , Iraqi Shiite militia launch joint attack on Israel Haifa

July 2, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

North Korean missile may have failed and exploded over land , Seoul says

July 2, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

North Korean missile may have failed and exploded over land , Seoul says

July 2, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

Why China Missile Arsenal Could Outmaneuver U . S . Military Might

July 2, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

China DF - 26B Missile Could Sink U . S . Navy Aircraft Carriers

July 2, 2026

Militaryseverity 7

Short - lived military coup fails against Arce in Bolivia

July 2, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

South Korea Military Says North Korea Latest Missile Test Likely Ended in Failure .

July 2, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

South Korea military says North Korea latest missile test likely ended in failure . | World News

July 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Kremlin Holds US Responsible for Ukrainian Strike on Sevastopol , Threatens Retaliation

July 2, 2026

Militaryseverity 7

US to send USD 150 million in military aid to Ukraine to combat Russia strikes

July 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 7

Russia summons the American ambassador over a deadly attack that Moscow says used US - made missiles

July 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 7

After Crimea Attack , Russia Threatens US

July 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 7

Russia Summons the American Ambassador over a Deadly Attack That Moscow Says Used US - made Missiles

July 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 7

Russia summons the American ambassador over a deadly attack that Moscow says used US - made missiles

July 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 7

Russia summons the American ambassador over a deadly attack that Moscow says used US - made missiles

July 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 7

Myanmar Growth to Remain Stagnant As Conflict , Displacement Spreads

July 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Myanmar Civil War : A Golden Opportunity for U . S . Sabotage of China Interests

July 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 7

Sudan Baath Party Leader - Warring Parties Seeking to Narrow Public Discourse On Conflict

July 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

U . S . Sudan Envoy Warns Civil War Could Escalate Into Regional Conflict

July 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

New Cold War Proxy Conflict Brewing In Myanmar

July 2, 2026

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