Military··Severity 9
Middle East live: US targets Iran's Revolutionary Guard in retaliation for killed troops
Washington launched its eighth consecutive wave of strikes in Iran overnight Saturday with US Central Command saying the latest attacks had targeted Iran's Revolutionary Guard in retaliation for Tehran's killing of two US troops at an airbase in Jordan. A third US soldier is missing in action. Follow our liveblog for the latest updates.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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