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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Six civilians killed in Ukraine’s attack on Kirov: aftermath

According to the latest estimates, 26 people were injured

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

39%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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