Social··Severity 6
Saudi economy shrinks as Middle East conflict takes heavy toll
GDP contracted by 4.8% in second quarter compared with same period in 2025
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
25%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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