← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 8

US strikes Iran, tanker, as Tehran hits Kuwait, Jordan: What’s the latest

Strikes have hit closer to Tehran for the first time since the latest wave of attacks started.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

62%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

Checking access status…