Geopolitical··Severity 6
US helping Ukraine bypass Russian air defences: strikes on refineries up elevenfold – FT
US intelligence is helping Ukraine plan routes for long-range drones and bypass Russian air defences during strikes on oil refineries.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
46%Эскалация
Сценарии event-driven intelligence
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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