Military··Severity 8
US attacks Iran for tenth consecutive night
Washington vows revenge for US military casualties and Iran claims attacks on US sites across the region.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
72%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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