Will the heat from a cooking oil scandal help the opposition in Taiwan?
Taipei mayor Wayne Chiang Wan-an has emerged as the biggest political winner from an opposition protest against the government’s handling of a food safety scandal that drew what organisers said were more than 200,000 people onto the streets of the city. The unexpectedly large turnout appears to have given the island’s main opposition party, the Kuomintang, fresh momentum ahead of the local elections in November and could reshape the race to become the party’s candidate in the next leadership...
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: South China Morning Post
Checking access status…