Geopolitical··Severity 6
Protests over defense minister’s dismissal spread to 12 Ukrainian cities
Protests against Ukraine’s Defense Minister Fydorov’s dismissal began in Ukrainian cities on July 16
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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