Geopolitical··Severity 9
Ukrainians welcome new army chief but seek return of fired defence minister
Ukraine's soldiers and civilians welcomed the appointment of Mykhailo Drapaty as the new army chief on Wednesday, but many said they still wanted former defence minister Mykhailo Fedorov restored after his surprise removal sparked the largest war-related protests since Russia's 2022 invasion.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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74%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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