Geopolitical··Severity 9
Mapping the latest US strikes across Iran
US attacks kill dozens in Iran as Iranian forces target regional bases, pushing a fragile ceasefire closer to collapse.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
69%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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