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Social··Severity 6

Goldman Sees Turkey Likely Tolerating Faster Lira Slide

Goldman Sachs economists expect Turkey to allow a more rapid depreciation of the lira in order to prioritize external-balance stabilization over disinflation.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

29%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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