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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Chinese Supertanker U-Turns to Shun Red Sea Amid Houthi Blockade

A Hong Kong-flagged supertanker bound for Saudi Arabia’s Red Sea port of Yanbu has U-turned just before reaching the Bab el-Mandeb chokepoint, where recent attacks were launched by the Houthis as part of a blockade on ships linked to the kingdom.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

62%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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