Geopolitical··Severity 6
Ukraine to bear responsibility for attacks on buses in Russia — MFA spokeswoman
Maria Zakharova stressed that the Kiev regime continues its attacks on civilian transport, with manic persistence seeking to take it out on peaceful citizens in revenge for its growing failures at the front
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
39%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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