Geopolitical··Severity 6
國防部 ： 中共30日發射運載火箭 經過台灣防空識別區 | 政治
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: cna.com.tw
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