Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran war: Egypt's difficult balancing act
The US-Iran war has already had a negative economic impact on Egypt. Now new threats from the Houthi group in Yemen are likely to worsen that. At the same time, Egypt is trying to stay on good terms with all parties.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: DW World
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