Military··Severity 9
US hits tanker heading for Kharg Island under renewed Iran blockade
Military clashes over control of Strait of Hormuz threaten global oil supplies
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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