Geopolitical··Severity 6
Iran rejects new US ceasefire proposal — NYT
According to the newspaper, Iranian officials said Tehran was not interested in a temporary deal, which will leave the Strait of Hormuz issue unsolved
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
28%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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