Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran war live: Trump weighs ‘massive attack’ on Iran
Trump says he is considering a ‘massive attack’, as Iran's Araghchi says 'mindless aggression' won't help a deal.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
59%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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