Geopolitical··Severity 8
Latest Oil Market News and Analysis for July 22
Oil edged higher after President Donald Trump played down the prospect of near-term talks with Iran while threatening further strikes, as risks to global supply spread beyond the Middle East to the Black Sea.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
59%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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