Geopolitical··Severity 6
Situation with Fyodorov shows how easily his sponsors can organize protest — diplomat
According to Rodion Miroshnik, there is a system in Ukraine that blocks security forces’ response to civil protests and triggers the protests as such
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
31%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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