Geopolitical··Severity 6
India Flags Attack on LPG Tanker in Iran Waters, Says Crew Safe
India’s embassy in Tehran said it is in close contact with authorities after a liquefied petroleum gas tanker, with 28 Indian crew members onboard, came under attack in Iranian territorial waters on Friday.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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