Geopolitical··Severity 6
The Fed will face a pivotal meeting in September unless there is a durable ceasefire
Read the July forecast from the FT’s Monetary Policy Radar team
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
32%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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