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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Nato backs Ukraine’s push to hit Russia harder, says Finnish president

Alexander Stubb tells FT that long-range drone strikes have changed US views on the war and put Kyiv in ‘best’ position since 2022

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

67%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence

Primary source: FT World

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