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Geopolitical··Severity 9

How conflict minerals fuel war in eastern DR Congo amid US sanctions

The US has imposed sanctions on Rwandan companies it says helped finance armed groups through the illicit minerals trade

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

70%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

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