Geopolitical··Severity 8
Attacks on Kyiv ahead of NATO summit: What is Putin's goal?
Kyiv suffered heavy Russian strikes ahead of the NATO summit in Ankara. Experts say Russian President Vladimir Putin is trying to send a message.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: DW World
Checking access status…