Military··Severity 9
US strikes Iran and reinstates oil sanctions over shipping attacks
Renewed explosions were heard in Iran late on Tuesday and into Wednesday after the US military unleashed a wave of strikes against Iran and revoked a license allowing the country to sell oil after three tankers were hit in the Strait of Hormuz.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: CGTN World
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