Geopolitical··Severity 8
Centcom says US forces launching additional strikes on Iran
Centcom says US forces launching additional strikes on Iran US Central Command says its forces have started conducting additional strikes against Iran at Trump's direction. In a post on X, Centcom said the strikes aimed "to further degrade their ability to threaten freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz". The announcement came after Iranian semi-official media reported explosions in southern coastal Iran.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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60%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Middle East Eye
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