Geopolitical··Severity 6
NATO views recent US strikes on Iran as 'absolutely necessary', chief says
Mark Rutte added that the Strait of Hormuz must be open to shipping
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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