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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Iran’s economy faces long road to recovery as fragile truce tested

The devastation that industrial facilities have taken from two wars in a year might take years to reverse, say analysts.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

37%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

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