Geopolitical··Severity 6
Former rebel turned government ally proposes a path to peace for Sudan
Malik Agar Ayyir has proposed a national dialogue to end the civil war and steer Sudan towards democratic civilian rule.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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