Social··Severity 6
Despite Sanctions, the Myanmar Government Continues to Procure High Volumes of Jet Fuel
An independent group examined official documents from Myanmar ports, leaked bank documents and open-source data to chart the network that supplies Myanmar with jet fuel.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
28%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: The Diplomat
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