Geopolitical··Severity 6
Stocks Drop, Oil Jumps After Trump Says Ceasefire with Iran Is "Over" | Bloomberg Brief 07/08/2026
US equity futures slump and oil extends gains as President Trump says a tentative ceasefire with Iran is over. The US had struck 80 sites in Iran ahead of the president's remarks at the NATO Summit in Ankara, Turkey. Mark McCormick of BMO Capital Markets discusses the impact of fresh geopolitical tensions. (Source: Bloomberg)
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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