Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia attacks Ukraine with five ballistic missiles and 169 drones, air defence downs 139 UAVs
Russian forces attacked Ukraine with five ballistic missiles, two anti-radar missiles and 169 drones of various types overnight. Ukrainian air defences downed 139 Russian UAVs.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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