Geopolitical··Severity 8
Trump says Ukraine will get licence to produce Patriot missiles
Although the Patriots are highly effective against Russia's ballistic missiles, they also have lengthy production times.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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