Geopolitical··Severity 8
US says conducting new wave of strikes on Iran as ceasefire falters
Second night of strikes comes after Trump says ceasefire 'over', suggests talks for lasting peace will continue.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
51%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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