Geopolitical··Severity 6
Oil Extends Surge as Fresh US Strikes Against Iran Rattle Market
Oil extended a powerful surge as the US struck targets in Iran for a second day, raising risks for energy supplies from the region.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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