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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Shipowners Assess Hormuz-Transit Risk as US-Iran Deal Crumbles

Shipowners painted a mixed picture of their willingness to continue transiting the Strait of Hormuz in the hours after President Donald Trump said the US ceasefire with Iran is “over.”

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

31%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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