Geopolitical··Severity 9
Oil Gains, US Stock Futures Drop on New Strikes: Markets Wrap
Oil gained and US equity futures ticked lower after the US said it is striking Iran for the second straight day, an escalation of violence that threatens to choke shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
Checking access status…