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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Tehran targets Bahrain and Kuwait after US strikes and limits Iran oil sales over ship attacks

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

40%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: wral.com

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