Geopolitical··Severity 6
Ukraine intensifies attacks on Russian ships in Azov Sea
Eight small fuel tankers supplying Crimea were hit overnight, says Kyiv
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Scenarios
Primary source: FT World
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