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Geopolitical··Severity 6

NATO secretary general expects Alliance to recognise Russia as long-term threat

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte says he expects allies to confirm in the Ankara summit declaration that Russia poses a long-term threat to Alliance territory.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

39%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence

Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda

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