Economic··Severity 5
What Will Happen to Iran’s Sea Mines?
The overlooked technology wreaked havoc on the Strait of Hormuz—and global trade.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
20%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Foreign Policy
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