Geopolitical··Severity 8
Strait of Hormuz Is Iran's 'New Nuclear Weapon' Says Miller
Aaron David Miller, senior fellow at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, joined Balance of Power to discuss the recent escalation in the Middle East. He said Iran will go to "extreme lengths" to ensure it exercises some control over the Strait of Hormuz. (Source: Bloomberg)
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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59%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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