Geopolitical··Severity 8
Security Council LIVE: Open debate on sexual violence in conflict
The UN Security Council is holding an open debate Tuesday honouring the promise of international law to survivors of sexual violence in conflict as more reports emerge about warring parties using rape as a weapon, actions that constitute war crimes. Stay tuned for live updates from our meetings coverage team.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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57%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: UN News
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