Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran says it hit bases in Kuwait, Bahrain
Iran says it hit bases in Kuwait, Bahrain Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said they hit several US bases in Kuwait and Bahrain, and threatened to expand attacks t0 other countries within the region if the US targets Iran again.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
60%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Middle East Eye
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