Geopolitical··Severity 6
Diplomat reveals number of Russian civilian casualties from past week’s attacks by Ukraine
38 Russian civilians, including one child, were killed, Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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