Social··Severity 6
The cost of a broken ceasefire
Peace talks between Washington and Tehran falling apart may continue to hurt global economy
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
16%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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